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On this page

  • The Billion-Trillion-Trillion Puzzle
  • Why This Matters: The Quantum-Classical Border
  • The Two Predictions
  • Why $G^2$ is the "Natural" Expectation
  • Four Attempts to Derive $G^1$ Scaling
  • Approach 1: The Wheeler-DeWitt Constraint
  • Approach 2: Replica Wormholes
  • Approach 3: Stochastic Gravity
  • Approach 4: Quantum Channel Theory
  • The Common Gap
  • The Holographic Resolution in JT Gravity
  • Five Arguments for Flat-Space Extension
  • The Gravitational Information Axiom
  • Experiment Will Decide
  • The Honest Assessment
  • Conclusion
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The G1 Question: A 10³⁵ Discrepancy at the Heart of Physics

January 22, 2026·12 min read
quantum gravitygravitational decoherenceG1 scalingDiosi-Penrosephysics
Quantum-Geometric DualityPart 2 of 12
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On this page
  • The Billion-Trillion-Trillion Puzzle
  • Why This Matters: The Quantum-Classical Border
  • The Two Predictions
  • Why $G^2$ is the "Natural" Expectation
  • Four Attempts to Derive $G^1$ Scaling
  • Approach 1: The Wheeler-DeWitt Constraint
  • Approach 2: Replica Wormholes
  • Approach 3: Stochastic Gravity
  • Approach 4: Quantum Channel Theory
  • The Common Gap
  • The Holographic Resolution in JT Gravity
  • Five Arguments for Flat-Space Extension
  • The Gravitational Information Axiom
  • Experiment Will Decide
  • The Honest Assessment
  • Conclusion

The Billion-Trillion-Trillion Puzzle

Physics rarely offers us predictions that differ by a factor of 103510^{{35}}1035. That is not a rounding error or a small correction. It is the difference between something happening in a nanosecond versus not happening within the lifetime of the universe.

This is the G1 question: when gravity causes quantum superpositions to collapse, does the rate scale as G1G^1G1 (one power of Newton's gravitational constant) or G2G^2G2 (two powers)?

The answer will tell us something profound about how gravity and quantum mechanics interact at the deepest level.

Why This Matters: The Quantum-Classical Border

Before diving into the technical details, let us understand why physicists care so much about this question.

Quantum mechanics tells us that particles can exist in "superposition"---being in multiple states at once. An electron can spin both clockwise and counterclockwise simultaneously. An atom can be in two places at the same time. This is experimentally verified countless times.

Yet we never see a baseball in two places at once. Somewhere between the atomic scale and the everyday scale, quantum behavior gives way to classical behavior. This transition is called "decoherence"---the quantum superposition becomes correlated with the environment, and the interference effects that characterize quantum mechanics disappear.

The critical question is: what causes decoherence? For small particles, interactions with air molecules, photons, and other environmental influences suffice. But for larger objects, something else might be at play.

In the 1980s and 1990s, Lajos Diosi and Roger Penrose independently proposed a radical answer: gravity itself might be the agent of decoherence. A mass in superposition creates two different gravitational fields, corresponding to two different spacetime geometries. Nature, they argued, cannot sustain such geometric ambiguity indefinitely.

The Two Predictions

Let us make this concrete. Consider a particle of mass MMM placed in a quantum superposition of two positions separated by distance ddd.

The Diosi-Penrose Prediction (G1G^1G1 scaling):

The decoherence timescale is:

τdec=ℏ dGM2\tau_{{\text{{dec}}}} = \frac{{\hbar \, d}}{{G M^2}}τdec​=GM2ℏd​

Here, ℏ\hbarℏ is Planck's constant, GGG is Newton's gravitational constant, and MMM is the particle's mass. The rate of decoherence is the inverse of this time:

ΓG1=GM2ℏ d\Gamma_{{G^1}} = \frac{{G M^2}}{{\hbar \, d}}ΓG1​=ℏdGM2​

Notice that GGG appears to the first power. This is G1G^1G1 scaling.

The Standard QFT Prediction (G2G^2G2 scaling):

Perturbative quantum field theory, treating gravity as mediated by graviton particles, gives:

ΓG2∼G2M4ℏ3 d3\Gamma_{{G^2}} \sim \frac{{G^2 M^4}}{{\hbar^3 \, d^3}}ΓG2​∼ℏ3d3G2M4​

Here GGG appears squared. This is G2G^2G2 scaling.

The numerical difference is staggering. For a microgram particle (10−910^{{-9}}10−9 kg) separated by a millimeter:

  • G1G^1G1 predicts: decoherence in about 1.6 nanoseconds
  • G2G^2G2 predicts: decoherence in about 102610^{{26}}1026 seconds---longer than the age of the universe

This 103510^{{35}}1035 difference makes the question experimentally decidable. When technology reaches sufficient sensitivity, we will simply measure which prediction is correct.

Why G2G^2G2 is the "Natural" Expectation

Before exploring why G1G^1G1 might nevertheless be correct, we should understand why G2G^2G2 is the default expectation in standard physics.

In quantum field theory, particles interact by exchanging force carriers. For gravity, these are called gravitons. The strength of gravitational coupling is proportional to G\sqrt{{G}}G​. A typical decoherence process involves at least two interactions: one to correlate the particle with its environment, and one to trace out the environmental degrees of freedom.

Fermi's Golden Rule tells us that transition rates involve the coupling squared:

Γ∼∣V∣2\Gamma \sim |V|^2Γ∼∣V∣2

If VVV is proportional to G\sqrt{{G}}G​, then the rate is proportional to GGG itself---for each interaction. Two interactions give G2G^2G2.

This is how electromagnetic, strong, and weak interactions work. Why should gravity be different?

Four Attempts to Derive G1G^1G1 Scaling

Our paper systematically analyzes four independent approaches to deriving the gravitational decoherence rate. Each provides valuable insight, and remarkably, all four encounter the same fundamental obstacle.

Approach 1: The Wheeler-DeWitt Constraint

The Wheeler-DeWitt equation is the fundamental equation of canonical quantum gravity. It expresses a profound fact: in quantum gravity, there is no external time. The universe does not evolve "in time"---rather, time emerges from correlations within the quantum state.

For our purposes, the key insight is that the Wheeler-DeWitt constraint forces matter and geometry to be correlated. If a particle is in superposition of positions, the gravitational field must also be in superposition.

The energy difference between the two branches is the gravitational self-energy:

EG=GM2dE_G = \frac{{G M^2}}{{d}}EG​=dGM2​

This is rigorously established from classical gravity. The constraint involves GGG to the first power.

The gap: The Wheeler-DeWitt equation is timeless. To extract a decoherence rate, we must import a notion of time from somewhere---a semiclassical approximation, a relational clock, or some other mechanism. The step from energy EGE_GEG​ to rate Γ=EG/ℏ\Gamma = E_G/\hbarΓ=EG​/ℏ is assumed, not derived.

Approach 2: Replica Wormholes

The replica trick is a powerful technique originally developed for computing entanglement entropy. It has recently revolutionized our understanding of black hole information through the discovery of "replica wormholes"---geometric connections between copies of a system in the gravitational path integral.

For spatial superpositions, the idea is this: to compute the purity of the matter density matrix, we prepare multiple copies (replicas) of the system. The gravitational path integral includes both "disconnected" contributions (each replica evolving independently) and "connected" contributions (replicas sharing geometry through wormholes).

At early times, disconnected saddles dominate: the superposition is coherent. At late times, connected wormhole saddles dominate: coherence is lost.

The key calculation involves the effective area of the wormhole throat:

Aeff∼d⋅rg=d⋅G⋅Mc2A_{{\text{{eff}}}} \sim d \cdot r_g = \frac{{d \cdot G \cdot M}}{{c^2}}Aeff​∼d⋅rg​=c2d⋅G⋅M​

where rg=GM/c2r_g = GM/c^2rg​=GM/c2 is the gravitational radius. The crucial point: this scales as G1G^1G1 (one factor of GGG from the gravitational radius), not G2G^2G2.

The gap: This calculation works in JT gravity (a two-dimensional model). The extension to four-dimensional flat spacetime, where laboratory experiments occur, is not rigorously established.

Approach 3: Stochastic Gravity

Stochastic gravity treats spacetime as having both a mean value (determined by the expectation value of the stress-energy tensor) and fluctuations around that mean.

The standard approach derives the noise correlator from quantum field theory:

Nμνρσ=⟨TμνTρσ⟩−⟨Tμν⟩⟨Tρσ⟩N_{{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}} = \langle T_{{\mu\nu}} T_{{\rho\sigma}} \rangle - \langle T_{{\mu\nu}} \rangle \langle T_{{\rho\sigma}} \rangleNμνρσ​=⟨Tμν​Tρσ​⟩−⟨Tμν​⟩⟨Tρσ​⟩

This expression contains no factors of GGG. When we solve for the metric fluctuations, we get:

⟨hμνhρσ⟩∼G2 N\langle h_{{\mu\nu}} h_{{\rho\sigma}} \rangle \sim G^2 \, N⟨hμν​hρσ​⟩∼G2N

The G2G^2G2 appears because the metric is related to the stress-energy through the Einstein equations, which involve GGG.

Diosi proposed an alternative noise correlator:

⟨Φ(x,t) Φ(x′,t′)⟩=Gℏ∣x−x′∣ δ(t−t′)\langle \Phi(\mathbf{{x}},t) \, \Phi(\mathbf{{x}}',t') \rangle = \frac{{G \hbar}}{{|\mathbf{{x}} - \mathbf{{x}}'|}} \, \delta(t - t')⟨Φ(x,t)Φ(x′,t′)⟩=∣x−x′∣Gℏ​δ(t−t′)

This correlator gives G1G^1G1 scaling for decoherence.

The gap: The Diosi correlator is postulated, not derived from first principles. Standard quantum field theory gives a different result.

Approach 4: Quantum Channel Theory

The Margolus-Levitin theorem provides a fundamental quantum speed limit: the minimum time to evolve to an orthogonal state is:

τ⊥≥πℏ2E\tau_\perp \geq \frac{{\pi \hbar}}{{2 E}}τ⊥​≥2Eπℏ​

For a gravitational environment with energy EGE_GEG​, this bound becomes:

τdec≥πℏ d2 GM2\tau_{{\text{{dec}}}} \geq \frac{{\pi \hbar \, d}}{{2 \, G M^2}}τdec​≥2GM2πℏd​

The Diosi-Penrose timescale saturates this bound (up to order-one factors).

Five properties of gravity suggest it might uniquely saturate the quantum speed limit:

  1. Universal coupling: All degrees of freedom participate (equivalence principle)
  2. No shielding: Gravitational effects cannot be screened
  3. Holographic: Gravity saturates entropy bounds
  4. Geometric: Position is directly encoded in the metric
  5. Long-range: The 1/r1/r1/r potential reaches everywhere

The gap: No theorem proves that these five properties together imply saturation. It remains a conjecture.

The Common Gap

Remarkably, all four approaches converge on the same obstacle. Each establishes the energy scale EG=GM2/dE_G = GM^2/dEG​=GM2/d. Each fails to rigorously derive the rate Γ=EG/ℏ\Gamma = E_G/\hbarΓ=EG​/ℏ.

This is not a coincidence. The gap reflects a genuine theoretical boundary.

In standard quantum mechanics, Fermi's Golden Rule gives rates involving the coupling squared. To get G1G^1G1, the rate must take the energy-time form:

Γ=Eℏ\Gamma = \frac{{E}}{{\hbar}}Γ=ℏE​

rather than the Golden Rule form. This requires physics that bypasses the standard perturbative treatment---non-perturbative quantum gravity.

The gap is not merely technical. It represents the limit of current theoretical understanding.

The Holographic Resolution in JT Gravity

Despite the gap in flat spacetime, there is a setting where G1G^1G1 scaling can be derived: JT (Jackiw-Teitelboim) gravity, a two-dimensional dilaton gravity theory.

JT gravity is simple enough to be exactly solvable, yet rich enough to capture essential features of quantum gravity, including black hole thermodynamics and the resolution of the information paradox.

In JT gravity, we can explicitly construct the wormhole saddle for spatial superposition and compute its action. The transition from the disconnected saddle (coherent superposition) to the connected saddle (decoherence) occurs at a characteristic time:

ttransition∼ℏ dGM2t_{{\text{{transition}}}} \sim \frac{{\hbar \, d}}{{G M^2}}ttransition​∼GM2ℏd​

The GGG-counting is explicit:

  • Effective area: Aeff∝dGMA_{{\text{{eff}}}} \propto dGMAeff​∝dGM, which is G1G^1G1
  • Throat action: Aeff/4GA_{{\text{{eff}}}}/4GAeff​/4G, which is G0G^0G0 (the GGG cancels)
  • Energy scale: EG=GM2/dE_G = GM^2/dEG​=GM2/d, which is G1G^1G1
  • Decoherence rate: Γ=EG/ℏ\Gamma = E_G/\hbarΓ=EG​/ℏ, which is G1G^1G1

This is a derivation, not an assumption. Within JT gravity, G1G^1G1 scaling follows from the geometry of replica wormholes.

The question becomes: does this result survive to realistic 4D flat spacetime?

Five Arguments for Flat-Space Extension

We present five independent arguments that G1G^1G1 scaling should extend from JT gravity (2D, AdS) to laboratory physics (4D, flat).

Argument 1: Local Physics. Decoherence at separation ddd is a local phenomenon. The cosmological constant (the difference between AdS and flat spacetime) only affects physics at cosmological scales. For ddd much smaller than the cosmological length, corrections are negligible.

Argument 2: Thermodynamic Universality. Black hole thermodynamics is universal---the Bekenstein-Hawking entropy S=A/4ℓP2S = A/4\ell_P^2S=A/4ℓP2​ applies to black holes in flat space, AdS, dS, with or without charge and rotation. If black hole physics is universal, gravitational decoherence (which shares the same holographic origin) should be too.

Argument 3: Effective Field Theory. At scales between the Planck length and the cosmological length, physics is described by effective field theory. Dimensional analysis constrains the decoherence rate to the form Γ=C(GM2/ℏd)\Gamma = C(GM^2/\hbar d)Γ=C(GM2/ℏd) where CCC is a dimensionless constant. The cosmological constant cannot enter.

Argument 4: Information-Theoretic Universality. The Margolus-Levitin bound is a theorem of quantum mechanics, independent of spacetime dimension or cosmological constant. If the five properties causing gravity to saturate this bound are all independent of the cosmological constant (and they are), then saturation should be universal.

Argument 5: Celestial Holography. An emerging framework called celestial holography provides a holographic description of flat-space physics. While not yet mature enough for explicit decoherence calculations, no structural obstruction has been identified.

The synthesis: flat-space extension is well-motivated but not rigorously proven. The gap is now technical (absence of mathematical tools) rather than fundamental (presence of obstruction).

The Gravitational Information Axiom

Given that all derivation approaches face the same gap, we formalize the central claim as an axiom.

Gravitational Information Axiom (GIA): The rate of gravitational decoherence equals the gravitational energy scale divided by ℏ\hbarℏ:

Γ=EGℏ=GM2ℏ d\Gamma = \frac{{E_G}}{{\hbar}} = \frac{{G M^2}}{{\hbar \, d}}Γ=ℏEG​​=ℏdGM2​

Equivalently: gravity operates at the quantum speed limit. Information flows from matter to geometry at the maximum rate permitted by quantum mechanics for the given energy.

The GIA has six equivalent formulations, relating decoherence rate, timescale, noise spectral density, information transfer rate, entropy production, and mutual information growth.

If the GIA is fundamental---not derivable from simpler physics---it represents a new constraint that candidate quantum gravity theories must satisfy. If the GIA is derivable, we would understand why gravity saturates the speed limit and could calculate the exact numerical coefficient.

Either outcome advances fundamental physics.

Experiment Will Decide

Here is perhaps the most important point: we do not need to solve this theoretically. The 103510^{{35}}1035 difference between G1G^1G1 and G2G^2G2 makes experimental discrimination unambiguous.

Current experimental status:

  • Superpositions demonstrated for molecules up to about 25,000 atomic mass units
  • No gravitational decoherence signal detected above environmental backgrounds
  • Technology approaching but not yet achieving required sensitivity

Projected timeline:

  • 2028-2030: Interferometry with 10810^8108 amu molecules (marginal discrimination)
  • 2030-2035: Optomechanical tests with 10−1710^{{-17}}10−17 kg objects (decisive if achieved)
  • 2035-2040: Space-based tests like MAQRO (definitive)

Critical tests:

  • Mass scaling: G1G^1G1 predicts τ∝1/M2\tau \propto 1/M^2τ∝1/M2; G2G^2G2 predicts 1/M41/M^41/M4
  • Separation scaling: G1G^1G1 predicts τ∝d\tau \propto dτ∝d; G2G^2G2 predicts d3d^3d3

The universe knows the answer. Within 10-20 years, we will too.

The Honest Assessment

Let us be clear about what we do and do not claim:

Established:

  • The energy scale EG=GM2/dE_G = GM^2/dEG​=GM2/d (rigorous, from classical gravity)
  • G1G^1G1 scaling is derivable in JT gravity (holographic framework)
  • Five independent arguments support flat-space extension
  • No counterargument or obstruction identified

Not established:

  • Rigorous flat-space derivation of G1G^1G1
  • Proof of the Saturation Conjecture
  • The definitive answer

Theory grade: B+ by Einstein's standards. Strong physical arguments, multiple supporting derivations in controlled settings, but no rigorous proof in the experimentally relevant regime.

Conclusion

The G1 question represents one of the most consequential open problems at the interface of quantum mechanics and gravity. After four decades of theoretical work since Diosi and Penrose, we can now:

  1. Precisely characterize what is established and what remains open
  2. Derive G1 in controlled holographic settings
  3. Identify five independent arguments supporting flat-space extension
  4. Formalize the Gravitational Information Axiom as a candidate fundamental principle
  5. Specify the experiments that will decide the question

The scaling of gravitational decoherence---whether G1G^1G1 or G2G^2G2---encodes deep physics about how gravity couples to quantum systems. If G1G^1G1 is correct, non-perturbative physics is essential, gravity operates at the quantum speed limit, and holographic ideas extend to laboratory systems. If G2G^2G2 is correct, perturbative quantum field theory captures the essential physics, and our holographic arguments must be revised.

Either outcome will teach us something profound about the nature of quantum gravity.

The experiments are coming. The question will be answered.


This is Paper G of the Quantum-Geometric Duality series, examining the crucial question of gravitational decoherence scaling.

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Marc Sperzel

Builder and independent researcher. MSci Physics, King's College London. Writing about quantum mechanics, gravity, and information theory.

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